Every few months a new study confirms what social media tells us every day: Democrats and Republicans no longer like each other much. Some partisans say they wonât date someone from the other party. Others claim theyâd disapprove if their child married across party lines.
Now two professors in the Seidner Department of Finance at the Carroll School of Management have shown the business world isnât exempt from Americaâs partisan fever. Business people too are shying from interacting with their political opposites.
In a , Professor Vyacheslav (Slava) Fos, a Hillebrand Family Faculty Fellow, and two colleagues have found that the executive management teams of large American public companies have become more politically homogeneous. Sitting around a conference table has become yet another activity Americans wonât do with political opponents.Â
Professor Ran Duchin has identified a practical outcome of the partisan piqueâcompanies have become less likely to merge across party lines. Duchin, the Coughlin Family Professor, and three co-authors show, in a , that companies where employees mostly donate money to one party have become less likely to combine with ones where employees mostly give to the other.
Simply put, in mergers and acquisitions, Republicans prefer to pair up with fellow Republicans, and Democrats with fellow Democrats. What matters these days isnât whose product lines complement yours, but who shares your views on the right to bear arms.
Both professorsâ research was recently highlighted in , and the findings come as a surprise to those who believed that people were less likely to let partisanship color their dealings in business than in their personal and family lives. One would think that businesses aim to identify and exploit profitable markets, not let their partisan flags fly. A co-workerâs or merger partnerâs MAGA hat should matter less than that personâs contribution to the bottom line.
But executives arenât just their jobsâtheyâre American citizens (or at least residents), and theyâre living in a politically rancorous time. Political scientists have shown that American politics has become more driven by emotion and identity than policy disagreements. This phenomenon, called , fuels hostility. (Interestingly, itâs not unique to the United Statesâthe move toward affective polarization has been documented .)
“What matters these days isnât whose product lines complement yours, but who shares your views on the right to bear arms.”
Still, Fos says he was surprised that corporate executives couldnât set aside politics. âIâd imagine that executive teams would be the last place where people would put party interests ahead of everything else,â he says. âIf someoneâs the most talented person, that person should work for the company,â regardless of party allegiance.
Yet Fos and his co-authors show that politics is driving out some presumably talented folk: An executive is more likely to leave a firm if he or she belongs to the minority party there. Managers must be fine with thisâtheyâre letting it happenâbut shareholders arenât. The researchers document that a companyâs stock drops when a âmisaligned executiveâ departs. âThe incremental losses to shareholders around the departures of executives who are politically misaligned with their team amount to more than $200 million for the average ďŹrm in our sample,â they write.
Fos and his colleagues studied executive teams from 2008 to 2020 and will soon be updating their paper with additional data showing that âthe polarization we describe was even stronger during 2021 and 2022,â he said. The researchers measured partisanship as âthe probability that two randomly drawn executives from the same team are affiliated with the same political party,â using voter registration records to identify party affiliation.
Their study didnât address why management teams have become more partisan, but Fos suspects âpeople feel uncomfortable being around people of different political views.â That discomfort may stem from disagreementsâabout, say, likely economic outcomes or prudent corporate policies, given who occupies the White House or controls Congress, he says. Whatever the reason, executives of differing political views have become less likely to find the common ground needed to collaborate. Â
Collaboration matters in mergers. No corporate decision requires such intense, high-stakes interaction between two executive teams. Duchinâs research shows politics is inhibiting cooperation there too.Â
Duchin and his co-authors gathered data from 1980 to 2018 to assess the partisan bent of US public companies. To depict each firmâs partisanship, they identified employees via LinkedIn and matched their profiles to voter registrations. They also collected information on the campaign contributions of employees and all residents of the state where the firm is headquartered.
The researchers then calculated a firmâs political affiliation âas the average of (1) the number of a companyâs employees, identified through LinkedIn, that are registered as Democrats, divided by its total number of employees registered as Democrats or Republicans; and (2) the number of individual employeesâ political donations to Democratic committees divided by the total number of donations to both Democratic and Republican committees in the past two presidential election cycles.â
An interesting feature of this setup is that it captures the partisanship of all employees who donate, not just the executives.
In other words, the sample represents everyone participating in post-merger integration activitiesâthe lawyers, accountants, and supply-chain managers who must collaborate with counterparts at another company. Duchin and his co-authors hypothesize that differences in employeesâ politics can cause integrations to go awry.Â
“In my view, polarization has created mistrust. If counterparties donât trust each other, they canât reach a deal.”
That matters because executives often tout the potential synergies of mergers. As the researchers note, âSince 88% of the mergers in the sample make some reference to integration, political distance is more often than not an economically meaningful predictor of merger formation.â If people canât cooperate, synergies canât emerge.Â
âIn my view, polarization has created mistrust,â Duchin says. âIf counterparties donât trust each other, they canât reach a deal.â
Mistrust thus has become a friction that executives must weigh when considering a deal. The fact that Duchin and his co-authors find that mergers become less likely as the political distance between firms increases suggests that, in many cases, executives are passing on mergers that otherwise make sense. âEven though operationally or financially there are synergies, you may still not merge because the integration costs are so high,â he says. Lawyers and investment bankers are likely advising executives accordingly: cross-party mergers will be too fraught to be worthwhile.
Duchin believes education has a role in helping calm Americaâs partisan angst. Universities need to ensure theyâre forums for robust but civil discourse on difficult political questions. âWe have to say that on campus itâs OK to have sensitive political discussions,â he says. By learning to disagree civilly, students will learn a life skill they can apply on the job.Â
Fos, for his part, sees learning as an antidote tooâbut in the boardroom, not the classroom. He says his results about the increasing political homogeneity of executive teams suggest that US companies are engaged in a giant natural experiment. Some teams are choosing to be more Republican, some more Democratic, and some are still trying to balance the two.Â
âWith the passage of time, weâll see whoâs wrong and whoâs right,â he says. âAnd weâll see how the more politically diverse executive teams perform compared to the more homogeneous ones. It may be painful, but we will learn.â